- التنسيق العلمي
- الجوغرافية السياسية وحكومة
- الديموغرافيا، والصحة، والشيخوخة
- إدارة البيئة والموارد الطبيعية
- الطاقة، والتخفيف من حدة تغير المناخ
- التكامل الاقتصادي، والتجارة، والاستثمار، والتحليل القطاعي
- الخدمات المالية وسوق رأس المال
- رأس المال البشري، والحماية الاجتماعية، وعدم المساواة والهجرة
- وضع السيناريوهات وتقييم الأثر
- سيناريوهات التكامل الإقليمي والتعاون مع الاتحاد الأوروبي
Tourism in the Mediterranean: Scenarios up to 2030
ثلاثاء, 26/07/2011 - 18:22 | by admin
Over the last two decades Morocco, Occupied Palestinian Territory, Syria, Tunisia and Turkey have recorded the highest growth rates in inbound world tourism. In the same period, domestic tourism in these countries also increased rapidly. MED 11 tourism performances have been astonishing, given the security risks, natural disasters, oil prices rises and economic uncertainties in the region. Even the last financial crisis had no severe impact on this growth, which confirmed the resilience of tourism and the huge potential of MED 11 countries in this sector. This trend came to an abrupt halt in early 2011 during the Arab Spring, but could well resume when the situation stabilises.
This paper looks at whether this trend will continue up to 2030, and provides four different possible scenarios for the development of the tourism sector in MED 11 for 2030: i) reference scenario, ii) common sustainable development scenario, iii) polarised (regional) development scenario and iv) failed development - decline and conflict – scenario. In all cases, international and domestic tourism arrivals will increase. However, two main factors will continue to influence the development of the tourism sector in MED11 countries: security and adjustment to climate change.
المرفق | الحجم | الطلبات | Last download |
---|---|---|---|
MEDPRO Rep No 1 WP5 Lanquar.pdf | 450.81 ك.بايت | 5383 | منذ 3 أيام 9 ساعات |
تاريخ المطبوعة:
Tue, 26/07/2011
المؤسسة: CASE