Management of environment and natural resources

Perspectives in Resource Management and Climate Change Adaptation in the Southern and Eastern Mediterranean

This policy paper focuses on the sustainable management of some key natural resources in southern and eastern Mediterranean countries (SEMCs) under climate change and anthropogenic pressures. In a business-as-usual and even more so in a failed cooperation scenario, water resources, ecosystems and biodiversity in the region are under stress, with negative consequences for agriculture, food security, tourism and development. However, proper adaptation strategies are shown to be effective in reconciling resource conservation with GDP, trade and population growth.

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MEDPRO PP No 6 WP4a Bosello.pdf282.24 KB27302 weeks 17 hours ago
Date of publication: 
Fri, 22/03/2013
Francesco Bosello, Nicola Lamaddalena, Daniel Osberghaus, Consuelo Varela Ortega
Institutions: FEEM, MAIB, ZEW, UPM

Assessment of Socio-Economic and Climate Change Effects on Water Resources and Agriculture in Southern and Eastern Mediterranean countries

This study aims at assessing the socio-economic and environmental effects of different societal and human development scenarios and climate change in the water-scarce southern and eastern Mediterranean. The study develops a two-stage modelling methodology that includes an econometric analysis for the southern and eastern Mediterranean region as a whole and a detailed, integrated socio-ecological assessment focusing on Jordan, Syria and Morocco. The results show that water resources will be under increasing stress in future years.

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MEDPRO TR No 28 WP4a Varela.pdf3.84 MB28643 weeks 6 days ago
Date of publication: 
Thu, 21/03/2013
Consuelo Varela-Ortega, Paloma Esteve, Irene Blanco, Gema Carmona, Jorge Ruiz, Tamara Rabah
Institutions: UPM

Economic Impacts of Climate Change in the Southern Mediterranean

This report analyses the potential economic impacts of climate change on 11 southern and eastern Mediterranean countries through the effects of changes on the coastal ecosystem and on agriculture. The impacts are quantified through bottom-up studies assessing the consequences of the deterioration of the coastal ecosystem and protected areas for tourism arrivals, and the effects on yields of major crop families by mid-century. These data are then used as inputs into a world CGE model that quantifies the impact on GDP, sectoral production and prices.

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MEDPRO TR No 25 WP4a Bosello.pdf660.08 KB28612 weeks 5 days ago
Date of publication: 
Thu, 07/02/2013
Francesco Bosello, Fabio Eboli
Institutions: FEEM

Adaptation to Climate Change in the Southern Mediterranean: A Theoretical Framework, a Foresight Analysis and Three Case Studies

Adaptation to climate change in southern and eastern Mediterranean countries is particularly relevant because of the strong expected effects on the region and the sensitivity of important sectors like agriculture and tourism to climate change. This work analyses qualitative scenarios with the support of insights from the theoretical literature and information collected from case studies about Tunisia, Egypt and Turkey. We deal with several dimensions of adaptation, including the role of the government, equity, uncertainty and linkages with mitigation.

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MEDPRO TR No 26 WP4a Osberghaus.pdf2.39 MB25751 year 20 weeks ago
Date of publication: 
Thu, 07/02/2013
Daniel Osberghaus, Claudio Baccianti
Institutions: ZEW

Economic and climate change pressures on biodiversity in southern Mediterranean coastal areas

This paper establishes and measures key biodiversity and ecosystem health indicators and the number of world heritage sites in coastal areas at global level. It then estimates – econometrically – the indicators’ influence on the provision of tourism values through the marine ecosystem function as a harbour of biodiversity, and as a provider of amenity values and marine cultural identity. The report then focuses on the MEDPRO region, providing some estimates of the potential impact of climate change on these services for a given temperature increase scenario.

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MEDPRO TR No 24 WP4a Bosello.pdf502.2 KB24271 year 20 weeks ago
Date of publication: 
Tue, 05/02/2013
Laura Onofri , Paulo A.L.D. Nunes , Francesco Bosello
Institutions: FEEM

Management of environment and natural resources (Work Package 4a)

One of the biggest challenges for public policy in the region is to provide long-lasting economic growth so as to guarantee employment and a decent quality of life while at the same time preserving environmental sustainability. Countries in the region already face desertification risks and water scarcity, which contribute to a lower agricultural yield. Many strategies developed in response to this challenge lead to an inefficient allocation of resources.

Dr. Francesco Bosello

First name: 
Last name: 
Scenario Building Committee, WP4a leader
+39 041 2711459 / +39 02 50321147

Graduated at the Ca’ Foscari University of Venice, he received a Master degree in economics from the University College of London (UK) and a Doctoral degree in economics from the University of Venice. He is presently assistant professor of economics at the University Statale of Milan, associate researcher at the Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM) of Milan and affiliate scientist at the Euromediterranean Centre for Climate Change (CMCC). His main interests are focused on climate-change policy and modelling with particular emphasis on negotiation aspects of international environmental agreements and on optimal policy design considering adaptation and mitigation options. He is currently involved in EU projects like CIRCE, SESAME and CLIMATECOST aiming at climate change economic impact assessment in the Mediterranean regions.