Energy and climate change mitigation

A New Euro-Mediterranean Energy Roadmap for a Sustainable Energy Transition in the Region

This paper addresses the urgent need for a sustainable energy transition in the southern and eastern Mediterranean region. It analyses the unsustainable burden of universal energy subsidies and calls for new development paths unlocking the huge potential for low-cost energy efficiency and demand-side management as well as for renewable energy. It argues that a new structure of regional and interconnected energy markets is needed.

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MEDPRO PP No 3 WP4b Hafner and Tagliapietra.pdf470.87 KB242422 hours 21 min ago
Date of publication: 
Tue, 19/02/2013
Manfred Hafner, Simone Tagliapietra
Institutions: FEEM

The Relationship between Energy and Socio-Economic Development in the Southern and Eastern Mediterranean

This report aims to identify, explain and detail the links and interactions in Southern Mediterranean Countries (SMCs) between energy supply and demand and socio-economic development, as well as the potential role of energy supply and demand policies on both. Another related aim is to identify and analyse, in a quantitative and qualitative way, the changing role of energy (both demand and supply) in southern Mediterranean economies, focusing on its positive and negative impact on socio-economic development.

This report investigates:

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MEDPRO TR No 27 WP4b Bergasse.pdf931.97 KB177773 hours 38 min ago
Date of publication: 
Thu, 07/02/2013
Emanuel Bergasse, Wojciech Paczynski, Marek Dabrowski, Luc Dewulf
Institutions: CASE

Prospects for Energy Supply and Demand in the Southern Mediterranean: Scenarios for 2010–30

The aim of this technical report is to quantify alternative energy demand and supply scenarios for ten southern and eastern Mediterranean countries up to 2030.

The report presents the model-based results of four alternative scenarios that are broadly in line with the MEDPRO scenario specifications on regional integration and cooperation with the EU. The report analyses the main implications of the scenarios in the following areas:

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MEDPRO TR No 22 WP4b Fragkos et al.pdf560.33 KB328023 hours 31 min ago
Date of publication: 
Thu, 13/12/2012
Panagiotis Fragkos, Nikos Kouvaritakis, Pantelis Capros
Institutions: E3M Lab at ICCS/NTUA

Energy Efficiency: Trends and Perspectives in the Southern Mediterranean

This paper has two objectives. First, it attempts to establish the potential of policies on energy efficiency and energy demand-side management in the southern Mediterranean region. Second, by examining past trends in energy intensity and trends up to 2030, it analyses the prospects and costs of such policies, compared with expected developments in the price of energy resources.

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MEDPRO TR No 21 WP4b Blanc.pdf602.17 KB270312 hours 42 min ago
Date of publication: 
Thu, 13/12/2012
Frédéric Blanc
Institutions: FEMISE

Outlook for Oil and Gas in Southern and Eastern Mediterranean Countries

The aim of this report is to elaborate the MEDPRO Energy Reference Scenario for oil and gas supply and demand up to 2030 for southern and eastern Mediterranean countries. The report gives an assessment of

- oil and gas reserves by country;
- oil and gas production, domestic demand and export scenarios by country; and
- the existing and planned infrastructure for oil and gas exports.

Finally, the report presents some insights on the future role of the Mediterranean as an oil and gas transit region.

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MEDPRO TR No 18 WP4b Hafner et al.pdf5.21 MB274011 hours 1 min ago
Date of publication: 
Fri, 09/11/2012
Manfred Hafner, Simone Tagliapietra, El Habib El Elandaloussi
Institutions: FEEM

Outlook for Electricity and Renewable Energy in Southern and Eastern Mediterranean Countries

The aim of this report is to elaborate the MEDPRO Energy Reference Scenario for electricity demand and power generation (by energy source) in the southern and eastern part of the Mediterranean (MED-11 countries) up to 2030. The report assesses:

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MEDPRO TR No 16 WP4b Hafner et al.pdf7.74 MB23233 days 1 hour ago
Date of publication: 
Wed, 03/10/2012
Manfred Hafner, Simone Tagliapietra and El Habib El Andaloussi
Institutions: FEEM

Carbon Market Opportunities in Southern Mediterranean Countries

To date, Southern Mediterranean countries have hosted a limited number of projects under the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM). There are three challenges to the participation of middle income countries in future carbon markets: the limited size of future demand for offsets or credits; restrictions on the use of CDM credits in Phase III of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme; and the lack of prompt preparation for the start of new market-based mechanisms. This study examines existing and emerging activities in Southern Mediterranean countries that could fit into new market based mechanisms.

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MEDPRO TR No 8 WP4b Fujiwara et al.pdf816.39 KB217613 hours 3 min ago
Date of publication: 
Mon, 19/03/2012
Noriko Fujiwara, Monica Alessi and Anton Georgiev
Institutions: CEPS

Energy and climate change mitigation (Work Package 4b)

Socio-economic development is also driven by the availability of energy, which is a crucial input and accounts for a significant share of several Mediterranean countries export revenues. The Mediterranean countries and in particular Algeria and Libya, are already among the EU’s energy suppliers, and in the foreseeable future, their role is expected to increase. The shift to a low-carbon economy can translate into losses in oil and gas revenues while at the same time promoting the development of renewable energy sources, such as solar energy.

Dr. Manfred Hafner

First name: 
Last name: 
Scientific Bureau, WP4b leader, FEEM team leader
+39 02 520 369 87

Dr. Manfred Hafner has a more than 20 years international carrier in the energy sector and in particular on the Mediterranean region. He presently coordinates energy policy activities at the Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM); is President for Europe, MENA, Russia and CIS at International Energy Consultants (IEC); and teaches energy economics, markets and policy at the Ecole des Mines de Paris, the Institut Français du Pétrole, HEC-Paris and the Florence School of Regulation. Until early 2008 he was for many years the Scientific Director of OME (Observatoire Méditerranéen de l’Energie – a think tank and association of some 35 major energy operators in the Euro-Mediterranean area). Dr. Hafner has consulted extensively on energy issues for industry, governments and international organizations and coordinated several large research projects for the European Commission. He holds master degrees in energy engineering, economics and policy from the Technische Universität München (Germany), the Insitut Français du Pétrole (France), the Université Paris2/Panthéon Assas (France) and the University of Pennsylvania (USA). He also holds a PhD from the Ecole des Mines de Paris. He speaks English, French, German, Italian, Spanish and Russian.